A new RAI Consultants survey for Alpha Cyprus shows President Nikos Christodoulides leading in all five hypothetical first-round scenarios tested ahead of the 2028 presidential election.
The poll also places Christodoulides ahead in two second-round match-ups, while Andreas Mavroyiannis records victories in the two run-off scenarios where Christodoulides is not included.
First-round scenarios
In all five scenarios, Christodoulides ranks first, recording support ranging from 26% to 30%.
Scenario A
- Nikos Christodoulides: 28%
- Andreas Mavroyiannis: 22%
- Averof Neophytou: 20%
- Odysseas Michaelides: 9%
- Christos Christou: 6%
Scenario B
- Nikos Christodoulides: 27%
- Andreas Mavroyiannis: 23%
- Averof Neophytou: 19%
- Odysseas Michaelides: 9%
- Christos Christou: 6%
- John Christodoulou: 4%
Scenario C
- Nikos Christodoulides: 30%
- Andreas Mavroyiannis: 24%
- Odysseas Michaelides: 11%
- Giorgos Pamboridis: 9%
- Christos Christou: 9%
Scenario D
- Nikos Christodoulides: 26%
- Andreas Mavroyiannis: 23%
- Averof Neophytou: 19%
- Odysseas Michaelides: 7%
- Christos Christou: 6%
- Nikolas Papadopoulos: 5%
Scenario E
- Nikos Christodoulides: 27%
- Andreas Mavroyiannis: 23%
- Giorgos Pamboridis: 11%
- Odysseas Michaelides: 10%
- Christos Christou: 8%
- Nikolas Papadopoulos: 6%
Second-round scenarios
The survey also tested four hypothetical run-offs.
Christodoulides vs Mavroyiannis
- Nikos Christodoulides: 45%
- Andreas Mavroyiannis: 38%
Christodoulides vs Neophytou
- Nikos Christodoulides: 40%
- Averof Neophytou: 35%
Mavroyiannis vs Neophytou
- Andreas Mavroyiannis: 41%
- Averof Neophytou: 36%
Mavroyiannis vs Pamboridis
- Andreas Mavroyiannis: 42%
- Giorgos Pamboridis: 32%
Candidate trends
Across all five first-round scenarios, Christodoulides maintains first place, followed by Mavroyiannis.
Support for other candidates varies depending on the combination tested:
- Averof Neophytou: 19%-20%
- Giorgos Pamboridis: 9%-11%
- Odysseas Michaelides: 7%-11%
- Christos Christou: 6%-9%
- Nikolas Papadopoulos: 5%-6%
- John Christodoulou: 4%
Poll methodology
The survey was conducted by RAI Consultants on behalf of Alpha Cyprus between October 23 and October 30, 2026.
A total of 701 telephone interviews were completed using the CATI method with eligible voters aged 18 and over.
According to the company:
- Sample: 701 respondents
- Margin of error: ±3.7%
- Confidence level: 95%
- Response rate: 28.4%
The poll notes that the findings reflect respondents' preferences during the survey period under specific candidate combinations and do not constitute a prediction of the election result.
