Cyprus Population Set to Rise Until 2060, Eurostat Projections Show

Growth is expected to continue for decades before gradually slowing and reversing by the end of the century.

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Cyprus is projected to see steady population growth over the coming decades, reaching a peak around 2060 before entering a gradual decline, according to new projections published by Eurostat.

The island’s population is estimated to have reached 982,966 in 2025, up from 966,365 in 2024, continuing an upward trend seen in recent years. Eurostat forecasts suggest this increase will persist, with the population expected to rise to 1,044,946 by 2030 and 1,077,349 by 2035.

The upward trajectory is projected to continue beyond 2040, when the population is expected to reach 1,101,576, climbing further to 1,119,385 by 2045. The peak is anticipated around 2060, at approximately 1,145,542 residents.

After that point, growth is expected to slow and reverse. The population is projected to edge down to 1,143,830 in 2065, 1,136,317 in 2070 and 1,123,864 by 2075. By 2100, the population is forecast to fall to around 1,043,335.

EU population to decline after 2029

Across the European Union, the total population is estimated at 451.8 million in 2025, having returned to growth following a dip in 2021 linked to the COVID-19 pandemic.

However, this increase is expected to be short-lived. Eurostat projects the EU population will peak at 453.3 million in 2029 before entering a long-term decline. By 2100, the bloc’s population is forecast to fall by 11.7%, or roughly 53 million people, to 398.8 million.

Ageing population reshaping demographics

Alongside overall population changes, significant shifts in age structure are expected across the EU.

The share of children and young people aged 0–19 is projected to fall from 20% in 2025 to 17% by 2100. The working-age population, defined as those aged 20–64, is also expected to shrink from 58% to 50%.

In contrast, older age groups are set to expand. The proportion of people aged 65–79 is forecast to increase slightly from 16% to 17%, while those aged 80 and over are expected to rise sharply from 6% to 16%.

Eurostat notes that these trends will significantly alter the shape of the EU’s population pyramid. While the current structure reflects high life expectancy and relatively low birth rates, by the end of the century it is expected to shift towards a markedly older population, with fewer younger and working-age individuals.

The projections are based on assumptions of partial convergence in fertility, mortality and migration patterns across EU member states.

Source: CNA

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